Tag: LIV

The AGA Releases Staggering Super Bowl LIV Betting Estimates

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As typical with this time of year, Super Bowl storylines abound ahead of the Big Game.

Among them: Two storied franchises prepare to square off in Super Bowl LIV in Miami. One, the San Francisco 49ers, boasts the winningest record among teams that have appeared in the championship game at least three times. The other, the Kansas City Chiefs, stands as the NFL dynasty heir apparent and will play in its first Super Bowl in 50 years.

Beyond the gridiron, this Super Bowl will no doubt draw the most interest from legalized sports betting the world has ever seen. And the American Gaming Association (AGA) is betting on it.

Super Bowl betting spikes public interest

As detailed in a media call on Jan. 27, the AGA estimates some 26 million American adults will wager (legally or otherwise) on Super Bowl LIV. As a result, Super Bowl betting will generate a whopping $6.8 billion, according to AGA projections.

“With 14 operational markets and another seven close behind,” said AGA President and CEO Bill Miller, “Americans have never before had so many opportunities to wager on the Super Bowl in a safe and legal manner, and clearly, they are getting in on the action.

“With increased visitation to legal sportsbooks, we are successfully drawing bettors away from the predatory illegal market.”

According to the AGA survey, conducted by Morning Consult, nearly 4 million Americans will visit a retail sportsbook to bet on the Super Bowl. Roughly 5 million adults will lay money down via legal online sportsbooks or illegal offshore books. And surely millions more will participate in office or party pools or even call up their local bookies.

Compared to 2019, the AGA calculates a 25% increase in public visitation to legal retail sportsbooks, as well as a 19% spike in betting via online platforms.

“Truly, Americans have never been more interested in wagering on the Super Bowl,” Miller said, adding that leagues will more than benefit from increased fan engagement and additional revenue streams. “When Americans have skin in the game, it’s clear they’re more likely to tune in.”

Legal sports betting continues to expand

Hard to believe the US Supreme Court repealed PASPA almost two years ago. Since then, states have taken full advantage of legalizing sports betting.

Currently, 14 states boast regulated and operational wagering industries. That includes eight states with online sportsbooks.

While mentioned in the survey, offshore books do not seem to frighten Miller. They never have. The growth of legalized sports betting seemingly has the AGA CEO convinced that those illegal platforms will die out soon enough.

“What makes this year’s Super Bowl remarkable is that more fans than ever before will have the reassurance that the integrity of their bets on the big game will be preserved,” Miller said.

“The continued expansion of legal sports betting — to the detriment of the illegal market — truly benefits all stakeholders, from enhanced fan engagement for teams to added tax revenue for state and local economies.”

Miller believes legalized sports betting will operate in “as many as 30 jurisdictions” by next year. To boot, partnerships between sports leagues/stadiums/teams and gaming companies, which more than doubled in 2019 to 70, could reach into triple figures next year.

“A month into the new year,” Miller said, “there’s no sign that this rapid pace will slow down.”

Looking back on Super Bowl LIII estimates

A year ago, the AGA released the results of a similar survey leading up to Super Bowl LIII.

The organization projected some 22.7 million adults betting an estimated $6 billion on the Big Game. At the time, eight states featured operational sports betting industries.

“It was an unprecedented year for legal sports betting,” Miller said, pointing out that this growth has not come at the expense of the Nevada market. “Instead, legal sports betting is having its intended consequence in taking away business from illegal sportsbooks.”

Funny enough, this time last year, Miller noted “the continued viability of the dangerous, illegal sports betting market in America.”

The AGA CEO is not as concerned anymore.

“What we’ve been encouraged by is the amount of legal bets that have been placed since PASPA was repealed,” Miller said. “We’re beginning a migration of those consumers from the illegal market to a safe and regulated market.”

Miller later added:

“The demand for and the performance of sports betting in 2019 is validation that we’re gaining traction.”

DraftKings releases similar sports betting findings

Along the same lines, DraftKings revealed the results of a similar study it commissioned, titled “Football & Fandom: The Bet Effect on the Big Game.” Owner of the ever-popular DraftKings Sportsbook, the company’s national study found that 82% of the public is interested in placing a legal wager on Super Bowl LIV.

As 31% of American adults have patronized legal sportsbooks already, it should come as no surprise that they would be more engaged not only with these operators but also with the Big Game.

According to DraftKings’ study, some 78% of the public will be more likely to watch the entire Super Bowl this year if they place a bet. In fact, the study revealed that 61% of adults would watch more commercials if they lay wagers.

The NFL has already led to increased business for sportsbooks, obviously. DraftKings noted that the league draws 75% more interest than any other sport. During the playoffs alone, almost 70% of fans preferred betting on football.

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So, Which Two Teams Are Going To Super Bowl LIV? Here Are The Latest Odds

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Finally, the NFL playoffs have arrived.

After 17 weeks of fantasy football, parlays, prop bets and general Monday morning quarterbacking, the reason we play the game – aside from just winning (sorry, Herm Edwards) – kicks off with Wild Card weekend.

The next 11 games, spanning about a month, will determine the Super Bowl LIV champion.

It could be the league’s best team: the Baltimore Ravens. Or perhaps the dynastic New England Patriots. Maybe it’s the breakthrough year for the Kansas City Chiefs. Or is it the NFC’s year with the San Francisco 49ers or New Orleans Saints?

For our money, we’ll take the Green Bay Packers. But more on that in a bit.

With 14 states offering legalized sports betting, including 10 states with online sportsbooks, Super Bowl betting has never been bigger.

So the question remains: Who ya got?

NFL playoff schedule: Wild Card to Super Bowl

A championship and accompanying glory await one of 12 teams.

On Feb. 2, Super Bowl LIV will crown said winner. The road to Miami starts this weekend.

Here are the Wild Card matchups and the teams awaiting those winners in the Divisional Round. The conference championships will take place Jan. 19. All times listed are in Eastern Standard Time.

Round Matchup Date/time
Wild Card Buffalo Bills (10-6) at Houston Texans (10-6) Jan. 4, 4:35 p.m.
Wild Card Tennessee Titans (9-7) at New England Patriots (12-4) Jan. 4, 8:15 p.m.
Wild Card Minnesota Vikings (10-6) at New Orleans Saints (13-3) Jan. 5, 1:05 p.m.
Wild Card Seattle Seahawks (11-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (9-7) Jan. 5, 4:40 p.m.
Division Round TBD at San Francisco 49ers (13-3) Jan. 11, 4:35 p.m.
Divisional Round TBD at Baltimore Ravens (14-2) Jan. 11, 8:15 p.m.
Divisional Round TBD at Kansas City Chiefs (12-4) Jan. 12, 3:05 p.m.
Divisional Round TBD at Green Bay Packers (13-3) Jan. 12, 6:40 p.m.

Laying out the Super Bowl futures

Bettors who dreamed big preseason are on the threshold of a big payday.

On the flip side, those who counted on favorites might be shaking in their boots a bit.

Before the season began, the Raves and 49ers carried +4000 odds to win Super Bowl LIV. Now, they are the two favorites. Meanwhile, the top preseason pick to claim the title, the Patriots at +400, has dropped to the middle of the pack.

Here are the updated odds for each team to lift the Lombardi Trophy, courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook.

Team DraftKings Sportsbook FanDuel Sportsbook
*Odds as of Jan. 2
Baltimore Ravens +220 +220
San Francisco 49ers +400 +400
Kansas City Chiefs +450 +450
New Orleans Saints +600 +600
Green Bay Packers +1000 +850
New England Patriots +1200 +1200
Seattle Seahawks +2500 +2500
Philadelphia Eagles +3000 +3400
Houston Texans +3300 +3500
Minnesota Vikings +3300 +4000
Buffalo Bills +4500 +5000
Tennessee Titans +5000 +5000

Sussing out the field to clear up Super Bowl betting

AFC No. 1 Baltimore Ravens (14-2)

As noted, the AFC North champion Ravens stand as the frontrunner to win Super Bowl LIV.

Baltimore rides a 12-game winning streak and comes off its second straight division title, which the franchise has done only one other time: in 2012, when the Ravens won the Super Bowl.

Likely MVP and QB Lamar Jackson ranks sixth leaguewide in rushing yards with a league-record 1,206 yards from the QB spot. He also finished the regular season third in passer rating after throwing for 3,100 yards and 36 TDs (against just six interceptions) on 66.1% passing.

The Ravens posted the most points (531) in franchise history and ranked first in points scored, second in yards gained, third in points allowed and fourth in yards allowed. To boot, Baltimore went 5-1 against teams currently in the playoffs.

Yet Baltimore is not our Super Bowl pick.

AFC No. 3 New England (12-4)

No franchise in NFL history boasts the Super Bowl success as the Patriots.

New England has appeared in a record 11 Super Bowls. Nine of those have occurred in the Tom Brady-Bill Belichick era, since 2001, which itself would be a record. With the Hall of Fame QB and legendary coach, the Pats have won six league titles, which is tied for the most all-time.

They have advanced to the Big Game in each of the past three years, winning twice, and they have won three of the last five Super Bowls.

Even with an anemic offense, one that produced the franchise’s fewest points since 1996, New England’s defense has been dominant. It ranks first in points allowed (225, which is third-lowest in franchise history), yards allowed and interceptions, and second in takeaways.

The Pats have relied on powerful defenses before. In four Super Bowl-winning seasons, New England’s defense made up for poor offenses.

Yet New England is not our Super Bowl pick.

AFC No. 2 Kansas City (12-4), NFC No. 1 San Francisco (13-3), NFC No. 3 New Orleans (13-3), NFC No. 5 Seattle (11-5)

The 49ers put together their best season in nearly a decade and scored the franchise’s third-most points (479) in a season. San Francisco has home field through the NFC championship, and no team in the league scored more points at home than the 49ers.

But San Fran is not our pick. Neither is Kansas City, which has won six straight and is one of the more formidable road teams (if it came down to it) and is the only playoff team to have defeated the Ravens (33-28 at home in Week 3).

Neither is New Orleans, whose lone loss over the final seven games came against San Francisco, which is also the Saints’ only loss against current playoff teams. Neither is Seattle, which recorded its best record since going to the Super Bowl in 2014 and nearly won the NFC West while playing the league’s sixth-strongest schedule – and the strongest among playoff teams.

Our pick to win Super Bowl LIV: Green Bay Packers (13-3)

It seems the Packers enter every season with lofty expectations thrust upon them. This season, however, was not one of them.

Green Bay came into the year with a new head coach and uncertainties at skill positions. Somehow, though, the Packers took advantage of flying under the radar, recording the franchise’s best record since 2007 and locking up the No. 2 seed in the NFC.

The last time Green Bay was in the postseason, three years ago, it lost in the conference championship. This year, the Packers are our value pick to win the whole dang thing.

The AFC is set up to beat up on one another, thereby sending its conference champ limping into the Super Bowl. The NFC, however, appears more forthright. And with future Hall of Famer Aaron Rodgers calling the shots, fresh of his eighth season with at least 4,000 passing yards and ninth straight year with single-digit interceptions, it’s difficult to bet against the Pack.

Green Bay closed the regular season with five straight victories. It features a 1,000-yard rusher in Aaron Jones (who tied Tennessee’s Derrick Henry for most rushing TDs this season) and went 3-2 against playoff teams – the third-best record among the field.

Sure, the Packers’ strength of schedule ranked dead-last, but they did what they were supposed to do: win against teams they’re supposed to win against.

Come Feb. 2 in Miami, that’s what Green Bay will do: Win.

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So, Which Two Teams Are Going To Super Bowl LIV? Here Are The Latest Odds

[ad_1]

Finally, the NFL playoffs have arrived.

After 17 weeks of fantasy football, parlays, prop bets and general Monday morning quarterbacking, the reason we play the game – aside from just winning (sorry, Herm Edwards) – kicks off with Wild Card weekend.

The next 11 games, spanning about a month, will determine the Super Bowl LIV champion.

It could be the league’s best team: the Baltimore Ravens. Or perhaps the dynastic New England Patriots. Maybe it’s the breakthrough year for the Kansas City Chiefs. Or is it the NFC’s year with the San Francisco 49ers or New Orleans Saints?

For our money, we’ll take the Green Bay Packers. But more on that in a bit.

With 14 states offering legalized sports betting, including 10 states with online sportsbooks, Super Bowl betting has never been bigger.

So the question remains: Who ya got?

NFL playoff schedule: Wild Card to Super Bowl

A championship and accompanying glory await one of 12 teams.

On Feb. 2, Super Bowl LIV will crown said winner. The road to Miami starts this weekend.

Here are the Wild Card matchups and the teams awaiting those winners in the Divisional Round. The conference championships will take place Jan. 19. All times listed are in Eastern Standard Time.

Round Matchup Date/time
Wild Card Buffalo Bills (10-6) at Houston Texans (10-6) Jan. 4, 4:35 p.m.
Wild Card Tennessee Titans (9-7) at New England Patriots (12-4) Jan. 4, 8:15 p.m.
Wild Card Minnesota Vikings (10-6) at New Orleans Saints (13-3) Jan. 5, 1:05 p.m.
Wild Card Seattle Seahawks (11-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (9-7) Jan. 5, 4:40 p.m.
Division Round TBD at San Francisco 49ers (13-3) Jan. 11, 4:35 p.m.
Divisional Round TBD at Baltimore Ravens (14-2) Jan. 11, 8:15 p.m.
Divisional Round TBD at Kansas City Chiefs (12-4) Jan. 12, 3:05 p.m.
Divisional Round TBD at Green Bay Packers (13-3) Jan. 12, 6:40 p.m.

Laying out the Super Bowl futures

Bettors who dreamed big preseason are on the threshold of a big payday.

On the flip side, those who counted on favorites might be shaking in their boots a bit.

Before the season began, the Raves and 49ers carried +4000 odds to win Super Bowl LIV. Now, they are the two favorites. Meanwhile, the top preseason pick to claim the title, the Patriots at +400, has dropped to the middle of the pack.

Here are the updated odds for each team to lift the Lombardi Trophy, courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook.

Team DraftKings Sportsbook FanDuel Sportsbook
*Odds as of Jan. 2
Baltimore Ravens +220 +220
San Francisco 49ers +400 +400
Kansas City Chiefs +450 +450
New Orleans Saints +600 +600
Green Bay Packers +1000 +850
New England Patriots +1200 +1200
Seattle Seahawks +2500 +2500
Philadelphia Eagles +3000 +3400
Houston Texans +3300 +3500
Minnesota Vikings +3300 +4000
Buffalo Bills +4500 +5000
Tennessee Titans +5000 +5000

Sussing out the field to clear up Super Bowl betting

AFC No. 1 Baltimore Ravens (14-2)

As noted, the AFC North champion Ravens stand as the frontrunner to win Super Bowl LIV.

Baltimore rides a 12-game winning streak and comes off its second straight division title, which the franchise has done only one other time: in 2012, when the Ravens won the Super Bowl.

Likely MVP and QB Lamar Jackson ranks sixth leaguewide in rushing yards with a league-record 1,206 yards from the QB spot. He also finished the regular season third in passer rating after throwing for 3,100 yards and 36 TDs (against just six interceptions) on 66.1% passing.

The Ravens posted the most points (531) in franchise history and ranked first in points scored, second in yards gained, third in points allowed and fourth in yards allowed. To boot, Baltimore went 5-1 against teams currently in the playoffs.

Yet Baltimore is not our Super Bowl pick.

AFC No. 3 New England (12-4)

No franchise in NFL history boasts the Super Bowl success as the Patriots.

New England has appeared in a record 11 Super Bowls. Nine of those have occurred in the Tom Brady-Bill Belichick era, since 2001, which itself would be a record. With the Hall of Fame QB and legendary coach, the Pats have won six league titles, which is tied for the most all-time.

They have advanced to the Big Game in each of the past three years, winning twice, and they have won three of the last five Super Bowls.

Even with an anemic offense, one that produced the franchise’s fewest points since 1996, New England’s defense has been dominant. It ranks first in points allowed (225, which is third-lowest in franchise history), yards allowed and interceptions, and second in takeaways.

The Pats have relied on powerful defenses before. In four Super Bowl-winning seasons, New England’s defense made up for poor offenses.

Yet New England is not our Super Bowl pick.

AFC No. 2 Kansas City (12-4), NFC No. 1 San Francisco (13-3), NFC No. 3 New Orleans (13-3), NFC No. 5 Seattle (11-5)

The 49ers put together their best season in nearly a decade and scored the franchise’s third-most points (479) in a season. San Francisco has home field through the NFC championship, and no team in the league scored more points at home than the 49ers.

But San Fran is not our pick. Neither is Kansas City, which has won six straight and is one of the more formidable road teams (if it came down to it) and is the only playoff team to have defeated the Ravens (33-28 at home in Week 3).

Neither is New Orleans, whose lone loss over the final seven games came against San Francisco, which is also the Saints’ only loss against current playoff teams. Neither is Seattle, which recorded its best record since going to the Super Bowl in 2014 and nearly won the NFC West while playing the league’s sixth-strongest schedule – and the strongest among playoff teams.

Our pick to win Super Bowl LIV: Green Bay Packers (13-3)

It seems the Packers enter every season with lofty expectations thrust upon them. This season, however, was not one of them.

Green Bay came into the year with a new head coach and uncertainties at skill positions. Somehow, though, the Packers took advantage of flying under the radar, recording the franchise’s best record since 2007 and locking up the No. 2 seed in the NFC.

The last time Green Bay was in the postseason, three years ago, it lost in the conference championship. This year, the Packers are our value pick to win the whole dang thing.

The AFC is set up to beat up on one another, thereby sending its conference champ limping into the Super Bowl. The NFC, however, appears more forthright. And with future Hall of Famer Aaron Rodgers calling the shots, fresh of his eighth season with at least 4,000 passing yards and ninth straight year with single-digit interceptions, it’s difficult to bet against the Pack.

Green Bay closed the regular season with five straight victories. It features a 1,000-yard rusher in Aaron Jones (who tied Tennessee’s Derrick Henry for most rushing TDs this season) and went 3-2 against playoff teams – the third-best record among the field.

Sure, the Packers’ strength of schedule ranked dead-last, but they did what they were supposed to do: win against teams they’re supposed to win against.

Come Feb. 2 in Miami, that’s what Green Bay will do: Win.

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