Tag: MLB

Want To Bet On MLB? July Return Could Be A Possibility

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At this very moment, if anyone says they know definitively when Major League Baseball is returning, take it with a grain of salt. The truth is, while there have been many dates floating around all of it remains speculation.

What is certain, and what we do know, is there are plans floating around to bring baseball back. The necessary people are having conversations, developing policies and standards, and ball clubs are preparing for an eventual return.

But the exact date on when the season begins and when sports betting can resume is still a mystery.

Early July is possible

The MLB Players Union received a proposal from Commissioner Rob Manfred, approved by team owners, that would have baseball back by early July.

That lengthy proposal would reshape the MLB landscape with new rules, new financial stipulations, and a list of safety and health standards. The 2020 MLB season depends on both sides overcoming these financial roadblocks which are the current topic of discussion.

Portions of the plan include:

  • A shortened 82 game season
  • 14 team playoff
  • June spring training
  • Universal DH (designated hitter)
  • Geographical schedules for teams

Safety protocols will change baseball

A 67-page draft of the MLB’s health-and-safety manual, obtained by ESPN, outlines new procedures that will change baseball during the COVID-19 pandemic.

The new rules were written by MLB senior vice presidents Patrick Houlihan, Bryan Seeley, and Chris Young and VP Jon Coyles.

While portions of the document are missing, there are a few details to share, including:

  • No high-fives, fist bumps, or hugging
  • No spitting, tobacco or chewing sunflower seeds
  • First-and-third base coaches can not approach baserunners or umpires
  • Players should not socialize with opponents
  • Processing more than 10,000 COVID-19 tests per week

Teams have been asked to respond to the proposal by Friday, May 22 with input.

Should a proposal of this magnitude be implemented it would be a drastic change from the baseball played pre-pandemic. Discussions continue but there is only 11-days left before the proposed start of spring training 2.0.

Major League Baseball betting for now

While betting on actual games has yet to resume, at least here in the US, several sportsbooks are still offering MLB bets in the form of futures wagers.

FanDuel Sportsbook and Draftkings Sportsbook to name a few, have some betting options available including:

  • 2020-21 World Series Champion
  • South Korean Baseball
  • Taiwan Baseball

All sportsbooks around the US have curated a list of betting options during the pandemic, all with their own odds in place, so browse accordingly.

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How To Rate An Major League Baseball MLB Pitcher

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There are many different ways of measuring a pitcher's effectiveness. Earned Run Average is a popular method, as is walks + hits divided by innings pitched (WHIP). While those may carry some weight for baseball fans, they don't necessarily have much merit for baseball bettors, who are solely concerned with which team wins the game.

A pitcher's win-loss record only tells half the story in that it just specify the games in which the pitcher received a decision. As a bettor, it makes no difference which pitcher is credited with the win. As long as you win your bet, it does not matter if the starting pitcher earned the win or one of the relief pitchers.

For bettors, instead of looking at a pitcher's win-loss record, a better statistic is known as Team Record in Games Started, which is often abbreviated as TRGS. It credits a pitcher with a win when his team wins the game, regardless of which pitcher earned the decision, while it hands the pitcher a loss when his team loses, even if the bullpen gave up a four-run lead in the eighth inning.

Using TRGS instead of the traditional win-loss record will often allow you to find pitchers who are likely to be slightly over-valued or under-valued depending on their team's record in games where they did not earn a decision. Many times a pitcher's win-loss record and TRGS will be fairly equal in that a pitcher with a 10-10 record will have a TRGS of 14-14, but there are also times where they can differ greatly. This is where bettors who incorporate TRGS into their handicapping can gain a bit of an advantage.

2013 was considered a bit of an off year for Detroit's Justin Verlander, who finished the season with a 14-13 record and a respectable 3.32 ERA. But Detroit was 1-9 in games where Verlander did not get the decision and his TRGS was a poor 15-22, which gave him a flat-bet loss of 23.4 units, which was the first time a pitcher had shown a flat- bet loss of over 20 units since David Cone did so in 2000. It was also the second time Verlander has led the league in money lost, having pulled off the dubious feat in 2008.

Other pitchers, such as Matt Cain (8-10 win-loss record, 11-19 TRGS) and Felix Hernandez (12-10 win-loss record, 14-17 TRGS) also were among the league leaders in money lost.

Likewise, there are pitchers who see a great improvement in TRGs over their win-loss record, such as Ryan Dempster. In 2013, Dempster was just 8-9 with a 4.64 ERA, but his TRGS of 17-12 allowed him to show a modest flat-bet profit despite posting dismal traditional numbers. Derek Holland had a 10-9 win-loss record, but a 20-13 TRGs, making him a decent bet, while Arizona's Pat Corbin had a solid 14-8 win-loss record, but an even more impressive 23-9 TRGS, making him one of the top money earning pitchers for the year.

TRGS is a better way of looking at a pitcher and those who use it in their handicapping have an advantage over those who do not, and as you know, bettors can use every advantage that they can get.

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Source by Robert Holiday

Categories: Sports Betting

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Regular Season Game Before The All-Star Break Points Out Current Problems Ignored By MLB Officials

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In a very clear way, the 2018 All-Star game in Washington D.C. last week was representative of the current state of the sport of baseball. The ten home runs hit set an all-time record for the Midsummer Classic, nearly twice as many as the previous high of six.

That long ball production is indicative of the season, which is on pace to see more home runs than any other year in baseball ‘s long history. That statistic is not the only record that will be eclipsed in 2018, and the All-Star game reflected that as well.

Players are striking out twenty five percent of the time now, a frequency that will result in a record number of strikeouts in 2018. It came as no surprise then that the pitchers in the Midsummer Classic fanned twenty five batters in total.

Just as that highly promoted contest highlighted the sport’s reliance on the homerun and the strike out, it was another game a week earlier that served as a microcosm of some of baseball’s biggest problems. Commissioner Rob Manfred and the officials around the sport would rather ignore that game, which would be easy to do considering how few people actually saw it.

The Tampa Bay Rays played the Marlins in Miami on July Third, an intrastate battle that should have created all kinds of excitement in the home of Spring Training and three pennants. To underscore the serious attendance problem baseball has had there for over two decades, only six thousand people were in attendance.

The game itself went sixteen innings, dragged on almost six hours, and featured forty four different batters between the two clubs. Eighteen different pitchers took the mound, in addition to the three others who were called up on to pinch hit and or play a position at some point during the Sunshine State Bore-a-thon.

When it finally ended, an estimated two hundred fans remained in the seats. Miami’s front office rewarded those few loyal souls by handing out two free tickets to each one.

A better gift for them, and most other baseball fans, would be for the sport to adapt the extra innings rule started in the Minors this year. If tied after nine innings, each team starts the extra frame with a runner on second. That situation would almost guarantee that a game would be decided long before the sixteen innings it took before Tampa Bay finally beat Miami.

Besides reinforcing the fact that games are too long, that night also exposed another issue that plagues the sport. It must force the National League to adopt the designated hitter rule.

Because they were playing at Miami, the Rays had to allow their pitchers to hit. This stipulation might not be a new problem for the starting pitchers, who have been used to getting at least one plate appearance in an inter league game on the road.

However, having to bat poses a real problem for the multitude of relievers on the staff, for most of them never swing a club all season. What can happen when they are forced into such a role, is exactly what happened to a Tampa reliever that night.

Left hander Vidal Nuna injured a hamstring while running to first base after hitting a grounder, causing him to be placed on the ten day disabled list. The injury would never have occurred had baseball enforced a universal DH rule, and it also might have been avoided had the extra innings rule been used at the Big League level instead of just the Minors.

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Source by Doug Poe

The Truth About Progressive MLB Betting and Chase MLB Betting Systems

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If you have bet on sports for any period of time, you know that losing streaks are part of the overall picture. It doesn’t matter who you are or how good of a handicapper you are, losing streaks are going to occur. It also makes no difference how you handicap. Bettors who rely on statistics, trends, or systems are not exempt from the inevitable slump, which makes following some of the baseball chase systems a dangerous task.

A chase system closely resembles the old Martingale betting strategy of simply doubling up after a loss, with the expectation of recovering any previous losses and showing a profit when you do win. If you were guaranteed a winning bet within three plays, the chase system would work fine, but there are no sure things in sports betting.

Just as streaks are part of baseball betting, they are also part of baseball and it isn’t unusual to see teams win or lose six, seven or even eight games in a row.

When somebody is promoting a baseball chase system, you will be drawn to an impressive record, but the records that are given aren’t the actual win-loss record of the games bet, but instead is the record of the chase sequence.

As an example, if a chase system says to bet the New York Mets, the Mets could lose their next six games. If they win the seventh game, a bettor following the sequence would show a record of 1-6 in the seven games they bet. But the system would be credited with a record of 1-0 on the premise that the sequence was successful.

If that isn’t bad enough, nearly every chase system will have you playing the favorite on the moneyline or taking the runline if the team is an underdog. Either way, you are going to be risking much more money than you stand to win. If you take an underdog of +120 on the runline, you can expect to risk close to -175 to get the 1.5 runs.

Using -160 for either a moneyline favorite or a runline underdog, assume a bettor wants to show a chase sequence profit of $100. The first bet will obviously be $160 to win $100. If the bettor wins the first bet, they will start a new sequence. It’s when the bettor loses the first bet that things begin to get a bit complicated. With the loss, the bettor is now down $160 and needs to win $260 on their next bet in order to recover the money lost and still show their desired $100 profit.

To win $260 on a wager that is -160, you will have to bet $416. If the second bet wins, the bettor can close out the sequence with a $100 profit, but if the second game loses, the bettor is now down $576 and will need to win $676 to show a profit for the sequence. That leads to a third bet of $1,082 and if the third bet happens to lose, the bettor is down $1,658 and will have to wager $2,813 to show a $100 sequence profit on the fourth bet. If it goes to a fifth bet, the amount required to bet would be $4,471, which could very well exceed a bettor’s betting limit or most likely, a bettor’s bankroll. A win in the fifth game would be good for a $100 sequence profit, but a loss will yield a sequence loss of $7,284.

Losing five bets in a row isn’t all that unusual. It does happen. But when it happens with a chase system it can get awfully expensive in a hurry and will knock all the best-funded sports bettors out of the picture.

Consider these numbers before you invest in a handicapper who claims to have a 44-1 record or have gone 22-0 last season. Losses happen, it’s a reality of the game.

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Source by Robert Holiday

Categories: Sports Betting

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Free Picks for MLB Betting

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FREE MLB PICKS

Major League Baseball is a serious attraction for bettors not least because the MLB season which usually runs from April to November offers a total of 2,430 games over the period, but also because Baseball is quite unlike other sports in that there is no set standard point spread per fixture. MLB picks for a single ballgame can come in a variety of forms such as wagers on run totals, run line, futures, parlays, propositions, series and so on.

These innumerable MLB picks offer no shortage of prospects for bettors to make good winnings on their picks and has actually birthed models and methodical approaches and schemings to produce arguably the most statistically-driven sport in the world. While betting models for MLB picks may advance year on, no one system is perfect and can out rightly guarantee winnings. Hence bettors still need to have a good understanding of how picks work in the MLB and useful strategies.

Moneyline Picks

To get started with MLB picks, bettors have to have a firm grasp of money lines as it is the most popular pick in the sport. Simply put, the bettor just needs to pick the winner of a game. Much like in most other sports, a baseball game has an underdog and a favorite. The difference lies in the odds not the point spread. For instance, in a game between Boston Red Sox (+300) and Los Angeles Angels (-330), the Angels are a -330 favorite over the Red Sox, meaning that if you are going for this MLB pick, you want to wager -330 to win -100. That is, if the Angels win the game, the bookmaker will pay you $430 -your initial $330 stake and the $100 winning. Bookmakers sometimes office more significant odds on the underdog because it is considered a bigger risk than staking on the favorite.

Run Line Picks

Run line bets are quite similar to money line bets in MLB but with an additional twist. Here, not only are you picking a winner for an MLB game, you are also wagering that the winning team will win by a specific number of runs or lose the game by less than a specific number of runs. Essentially, the run line is a -1.5 or +1.5 point spread allotted to either sides in an MLB match-up. While the minus depicts the favourites, the positive sign shows the underdogs. If you stake on a run line MLP pick for the favorites, you are wagering that they will win by at least two runs. If the favored side won by only a single run, you would have lost your stake. Choosing a run line pick on the underdog indicates that you believe the underdog side will only lose by one run or win the game outright. A strong pull for bettings on run line MLB picks is that it allows them to wager on a team that they believe is going to over perform yet likely to lose the game.

Over-Under Bets

Some bettors are looking to avoid making a decision on who wins an MLB game but only wager on total combined score of a team or game. This is where the Over/Under picks come in useful. They are sometimes referred to as total bets and are stakes on whether the total number of runs scored in a baseball game will arrive above a set limit or below it. Bookmakers typically use a number of factors to arrive at a chosen limit for the over and under picks and these numbers often offer the same pay out figures. If an over/under pick is set at 9.5, it means you will require the combined score to be nine or less if you staked on under. If you wagered on over, you will need ten with very little to choose between the poor and great teams.

For Free MLB Picks with a proven win rate of 86.68%, go to MLB-Picks.site.

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Source by James Z Johnson

Categories: Sports Betting

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MLB Draft Features Family Members of Front Office Personnel

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Major League Baseball’s 2015 draft featured a name that has already set a record for the sport. Milwaukee selected a player whose name contains 32 letters, by far the longest ever chosen in the draft.

The new member of the Brewer organization is Oluwademilade Oluwadimola Orimoloye, an outfielder taken in the second round. Should he progress and work his way up the big leagues, Orimoloye will become the first African-born player to ever suit up for an MLB team.

While it might take a while for ballpark announcers to become familiar with the pronunciation of Orimoloye, they should find themselves quite comfortable with the names of many of the other players from this year’s draft. A handful of them are sons of former big leaguers, which has been quite common in drafts of the past.

What is unique about 2015, however, is the number of draftees who are close relatives of people working for the administrations of various teams. Here is a list of just over a dozen drafted players who are the offspring of front office directors, managers, or scouts for Major League clubs.

Tucker Ward, right handed pitcher

Taken by Arizona in the 40th Round, this draftee is the son of Diamondbacks scout Turner Ward.

Jake Pries, outfielder

Baltimore used the 37th round to draft the grandson of Don Pries, former scout and director of player personnel for the Orioles.

Jack Graham, second baseman

One round after snagging Pries, Baltimore went with the son of current farm director Brian Graham.

Tate Matheny, outfielder

If all goes well, this Boston fourth round pick will have a World Series battle against his father, St. Louis manager Mike Matheny.

Nick Lovullo, shortstop

Boston selected this son of bench coach Tory Lovullo in the 34th round.

Cody Staab, outfielder

The Chicago White Sox used the 38th round to pick the son of scout Keith Staab.

Joseph Reinsdorf, second baseman

The grandson of owner Jerry Reinsdorf went to the White Sox in the 40th round.

Tyler Nevin, third baseman

Colorado’s 15th round selection is the son of Arizona Triple A manager Phil Nevin, a former big leaguer remembered for his power and his unusual batting stance.

Cam Gibson, outfielder

The son of former Arizona manager Kirk Gibson should feel right at home in Detroit, which selected him in the fifth round.

Sean Miller, shortstop

In the tenth round, Minnesota landed this son of a Houston scout with the same name.

Tyler Williams, outfielder

Minnesota also chose the son of Twins scout Ted Williams, who was taken in the 26th round.

Drew Finley, right handed pitcher

The son of Padres director of player personnel Dave Finley went to the New York Yankees in the third round.

Dante Ricciardi, shortstop

The Seattle Mariners took the son of Mets front office executive J.P. Ricciardi in the 39th round.

Mattingly Romanin, second baseman

Toronto’s round 39t choice is the son of the Blue Jays manager of baseball operations, Mal Romanin.

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Source by Doug Poe

MLB: Bet Against the World

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“A nickel ain’t worth a dime anymore.”This quote from a well renowned baseball critic fits exactly to what we call MLB betting. Basically, it is nothing special, but just another type of baseball betting. The only difference is that it is fixed to a specific league of MLB. During each summer, baseball takes on the center stage and sports bettors have yet another variety of wagering but in a unique fashion. To plan a successful betting strategy, one has to take multiple factors into the account. The bullpens, showcase of pitchers, records of the team at home and away, previous history of head to head matches and expectations of offense from every team in the tournament.

How does it work?

Before entering into the betting arena, one should learn about the basics of MLB betting. This takes account of many topics like betting terminology, wager types, sportsbook and a guide which can help him making the best from his wagers utilizing the data from the book. The combination of the knowledge of the above mentioned topics and correlating it with the information provided during the previous matches and other betting systems, any person can become an excellent bettor just by using his sheer mental strength. Although there are different ways to bet, but few are given here, which have increased betting odds.

Moneyline

It is well known that each method of betting has some advantages and some disadvantages, so we choose the one which matches our investment and increases the betting odds. Moneyline is the most commonly used bet upto this time. In this bet, a person simply has to choose the winner of the game. In every sport some teams perform far better than the others, this can be easily noticed in the baseball too, and it affects the odds in MLB betting and they can vary drastically. To make it simple one can say that betting on the big or favorite team of the season will earn you almost nothing through the Moneyline. Whereas, one may be offered large betting odds in his favor if he wishes to put money on a significant underdog team. It happens simply because he is taking a much larger risk.

Five inning lines

This method uses score after each five innings in order to determine a winner, slightly different to the usual Moneyline which predicts the final winner. It is very same as betting on the halves of a basketball or football game. The betting odds on this line are usually similar to those of regular Moneyline bets.

MLB Betting Odds

If we talk in terms of sports betting, odds tend to serve dual purposes. First is, odds are essential in calculating payouts of the winners. Every time a person places money on a bet with a bookmaker, he will be shown odds of the game at that time, believe it or not but it impacts directly on the amount he can win. The higher the odds, more will be the amount to be won.

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Source by Shalini Madhav

Categories: Sports Betting

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