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PlayUSA Staff Picks On The First Touchdown, MVP & More

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Editor’s note: PlayUSA contributors Grant Lucas, Nick Garcia, Marty Derbyshire and Dustin Gouker share their thoughts on the best Super Bowl LIV bets.

Party in the city where the heat is on, it’s time to dive into Super Bowl LIV betting before the game is gone. (Pardon the Will Smith song reference, we just had to.)

Indeed, the second-ever Big Game with state-sanctioned sports betting outside Nevada is about to kick off. And we’re as excited as anyone, so we’re putting skin in the game.

By no means will we call ourselves sharps. We won’t even tell you that what you’re about to read is even good advice. Heck, it probably shouldn’t read as advice at all.

But it’s Super Bowl betting. It’s not like we’re not going to bet. And we need some official log as a basis for either future boasting or roasting. So, here’s that record.

Pick two for Super Bowl betting: Moneyline, point spread, over/under

Staff Pick DraftKings Sportsbook FanDuel Sportsbook
Dustin Chiefs moneyline/Over 54 +235 +247
Grant Chiefs -1.5/Under 54 +265 +270
Marty Chiefs moneyline/Chiefs -1.5 -122/-110 -128/-115
Nick 49ers moneyline/Over 54 +280 +275

Dustin: Chiefs moneyline/over 54. I actually got the opening line of over 52 here in Oregon, so I am happy about that development since the number climbed immediately. I am nowhere near a sharp sports bettor, so this is mostly betting with my heart. Would love for Andy Reid to win a title (I am an Eagles fan). And betting the under is the absolute worst thing to bet as a bettor because it’s not enjoyable to root against points being scored. So, root for the Chiefs to cover and score a lot of points? That seems like a win and something very likely to happen.

Grant: Chiefs -1.5/under 54. I like the Chiefs to win. As the spread is almost a pick’em, might as well go for the better payout. That’s never burned me before, he wrote sarcastically. The total is where I struggle. Of course, the popular money is on the over. Kansas City scores — a lot. And San Francisco can light it up, too. Right, Packer fans? But 12 of the past 15 games have finished with fewer than 54 points. Only 14 Super Bowls have ever gone over that total.

Marty: Chiefs moneyline/Chiefs -1.5. Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City offense prove too much for a good-but-not-great Niners’ defense.

Nick: 49ers moneyline/over 54. San Francisco QB Jimmy Garropolo has the arm, the looks and is surrounded by talent. Not to mention the Niners have one of the best D lines in the NFL. DE Nick Bosa and Co. march on to victory. The Niners have a better defense than the Chiefs, hands-down, but that won’t stop Mahomes from scoring points. It will come down to a final stop on a third-and-15 later in the game. Expect this one to be a shootout.

What will be the result of the coin flip?

Dustin: Tails. Only idiots bet on heads!

Grant: Heads. Obviously, it’s hard to ignore the trends. Tails has come up five of the last six times at the Super Bowl. But in Miami, the coin toss has landed heads in three of the last four games. So, obviously, I am overthinking this. Which is why I’m changing to tails. No, no, keep it heads. Wait … no … yeah, heads.

Marty: Heads. Isn’t it always heads?

Nick: Tails. Tails never fails. As a bonus, taking San Francisco to win the toss and the game, paying out +310.

What is the game’s first scoring play?

Dustin: 49ers FG. I am going to take the longest odds on something that seems possible, which is a San Francisco FG at +440.

Grant: Chiefs FG. Kansas City hasn’t scored first in either of its playoff games this year. Heck, they haven’t even scored SECOND. I like the Chiefs to win the toss and march down the field, only to have San Fran’s defense clamp down in the red zone and force a field goal. This goes against everything that has happened with the Chiefs this postseason. But it’s the Super Bowl. Nothing is supposed to go as expected.

Marty: Chiefs TD. Mahomes and the Kansas City offense dominate from start to finish.

Nick: Chiefs TD. This is all but a lock if the Chiefs win the toss. Hell, it’s even a lock if they don’t win the toss.

Who scores the game’s first touchdown?

Staff Pick DraftKings Sportsbook FanDuel Sportsbook
Dustin San Francisco TE George Kittle +1000 +900
Grant San Francisco WR Deebo Samuel +1200 +1000
Marty Kansas City TE Travis Kelce +800 +750
Nick Kansas City TE Travis Kelce +800 +750

Dustin: Kittle. Kittle at the longest odds of this group seems like a great bet if you have to pick one player. He was shut down in the NFC title game, and you can see the 49ers trying to establish him early.

Grant: Samuel. San Francisco’s attack is no longer under the radar. Kansas City will focus on shutting down the run game and tying up Kittle as much as they can. This frees up Jimmy Garoppolo and his top wide receiver. Samuel was second on the team in yard and TDs during the regular season. Garoppolo has targeted him nine times in 27 attempts. Samuel opens the scoring, and I skip to the bank.

Marty: Kelce. Too good a price to pass up on a TE that figures to be a major contributor.

Nick: Kelce. Arguably the best TE in the NFL right now, Kelce has waited a long time for this moment. I expect Andy Reid to draw up something special if the Chiefs get inside the 20-yard line on their first drive. Kelce across the middle for the first TD of the game.

What will the color be of the Gatorade bath?

Dustin: Red. Andy Reid was drinking red Gatorade at a press conference leading up to the game. This is easy money.

Grant: Orange. You’d think it’d be red, what with that be the primary color for the Chiefs and Niners. But the game’s in Florida — in Miami, no less — where orange is an official color. Plus, orange Gatorade is the best Gatorade. Don’t at me.

Marty: Clear/water. DK is giving away money on this one considering the trend has been clear/water recently.

Nick: Lime green. Niners go with the classic and douse Kyle Shanahan with some lime green G2 in the final 10 seconds of the game.

Who will win the MVP?

Staff Pick DraftKings Sportsbook FanDuel Sportsbook
Dustin Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes +115 +110
Grant Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes +115 +110
Marty Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes +115 +110
Nick San Francisco TE George Kittle +1600 +1800

Dustin: Mahomes. If KC wins, it would be hard to see a scenario where Mahomes doesn’t win this title, unless one of his offensive weapons goes off. There seems to be a lot of steam on Nick Bosa, as well. But I like the Chiefs to win, Mahomes to have a monster game, so I’ll take the short odds for the favorite.

Grant: Mahomes. It’s not a sexy pick by any means, but it may as well be a lock. This is a quarterback-driven league. It’s a quarterback-driven award. Since 2000, 12 QBs have taken home the MVP. And seven have done so over the last decade. But more than trends, this is Mahomes, a guy who is almost guaranteed four TD passes.

Marty: Mahomes. Here’s hoping they boost the price on this obvious choice for MVP before kickoff.

Nick: Kittle. While Kelce might be the best TE in the NFL, he won’t be the star of the night. That honor will go to Kittle, who has been a force of nature. Chiefs try body after body to cover him, but he carves up the Chiefs D for a pair of TDs and 130 receiving yards. Jimmy plays well, but Kittle secures the victory with clutch catches down the stretch. (As a bonus, betting on a TE to win the award pays +900. Never in the history of Super Bowl MVPs has a TE won the award. Forget Jimmy vs. Mahomes; the real matchup is Kelce vs. Kittle. Expect Kittle to break hearts and odds to claim the award for the first time in history.)

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Sports Betting

Free Picks for MLB Betting

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FREE MLB PICKS

Major League Baseball is a serious attraction for bettors not least because the MLB season which usually runs from April to November offers a total of 2,430 games over the period, but also because Baseball is quite unlike other sports in that there is no set standard point spread per fixture. MLB picks for a single ballgame can come in a variety of forms such as wagers on run totals, run line, futures, parlays, propositions, series and so on.

These innumerable MLB picks offer no shortage of prospects for bettors to make good winnings on their picks and has actually birthed models and methodical approaches and schemings to produce arguably the most statistically-driven sport in the world. While betting models for MLB picks may advance year on, no one system is perfect and can out rightly guarantee winnings. Hence bettors still need to have a good understanding of how picks work in the MLB and useful strategies.

Moneyline Picks

To get started with MLB picks, bettors have to have a firm grasp of money lines as it is the most popular pick in the sport. Simply put, the bettor just needs to pick the winner of a game. Much like in most other sports, a baseball game has an underdog and a favorite. The difference lies in the odds not the point spread. For instance, in a game between Boston Red Sox (+300) and Los Angeles Angels (-330), the Angels are a -330 favorite over the Red Sox, meaning that if you are going for this MLB pick, you want to wager -330 to win -100. That is, if the Angels win the game, the bookmaker will pay you $430 -your initial $330 stake and the $100 winning. Bookmakers sometimes office more significant odds on the underdog because it is considered a bigger risk than staking on the favorite.

Run Line Picks

Run line bets are quite similar to money line bets in MLB but with an additional twist. Here, not only are you picking a winner for an MLB game, you are also wagering that the winning team will win by a specific number of runs or lose the game by less than a specific number of runs. Essentially, the run line is a -1.5 or +1.5 point spread allotted to either sides in an MLB match-up. While the minus depicts the favourites, the positive sign shows the underdogs. If you stake on a run line MLP pick for the favorites, you are wagering that they will win by at least two runs. If the favored side won by only a single run, you would have lost your stake. Choosing a run line pick on the underdog indicates that you believe the underdog side will only lose by one run or win the game outright. A strong pull for bettings on run line MLB picks is that it allows them to wager on a team that they believe is going to over perform yet likely to lose the game.

Over-Under Bets

Some bettors are looking to avoid making a decision on who wins an MLB game but only wager on total combined score of a team or game. This is where the Over/Under picks come in useful. They are sometimes referred to as total bets and are stakes on whether the total number of runs scored in a baseball game will arrive above a set limit or below it. Bookmakers typically use a number of factors to arrive at a chosen limit for the over and under picks and these numbers often offer the same pay out figures. If an over/under pick is set at 9.5, it means you will require the combined score to be nine or less if you staked on under. If you wagered on over, you will need ten with very little to choose between the poor and great teams.

For Free MLB Picks with a proven win rate of 86.68%, go to MLB-Picks.site.

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Source by James Z Johnson

Sports Betting

Learn How to Consistently Win NBA Picks Today!

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Anyone who wants to make a living on NBA basketball betting should realize that it is not that easy especially if you are just new to the world of sports betting or gambling. This is because there are many things that must be watched out for in choosing the best NBA picks which is very important especially if you don’t want to end up losing in any way. Some of the things that you can do in order to get the best possible picks are:

o Be updated on the status of the player of each team. Know the latest news and happenings as well as any possible injuries and trades. Also, the condition of all the star players can play a big part in choosing any NBA picks.

o Be aware of the popularity of each team. Most of the time, the teams that are the most popular are considered to be best Nba picks not only in all of their matches for the entire season as well.

o Research on all of the possible facts and information on the team that you are betting on. This can help especially if you are having doubts on whether they are one of the best NBA picks for the game or not. Also. Make sure to look for advices from various oddsmakers and playmakers that are advisable. Often times, the predictions that these people make regarding the best picks can turn out to be true and very reliable.

o Be aware of the part of the NBA year. The good times to bet are usually in the games on the later part of the NBA season until the Finals. This is due to the fact that these are the times when the players usually give their best and all the teams are in their best possible conditions. Also, their performance in the part of the season can be a factor in knowing the best NBA picks during these times.

o Make smart bets. Place only on a limited number of teams including the ones that are considered the best picks during that time and your favorite ones. The fewer the teams that are included in your focus makes it really possible to look at them all very closely and derive your own judgments on whether they will win or not. Also, this should include knowing when to pass up on a bet especially if you are sure that you are not going to win.

o Trust your instinct. This should make up a part of your decisions. This helps it to develop to the point where it can give you reliable inputs on the best possible NBA picks that are available. Combining it with the results of the latest NBA news as well as the insights of some of the best odds that are available on the net and you can achieve a very high chance of winning all your possible bets.

Following these tips can really help a lot in choosing the best NBA picks to make your bets. Couple this with luck and watching NBA games can really become both fun and profitable.

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Source by Richard Gringer

Sports Betting

Picking the Spread With the Sports Picks Buffet

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Betting on sports is not the easiest thing in the world to do. John Morrison, the author behind the successful eBook “Sports Betting Champ” does make it look easy. It is not hard to be envious of his wealth and the material possessions he has accumulated through sports betting. But at least he is sharing his secrets and the tips that have made him the betting champ that he is today. His, The Sports Picks Buffet, is a membership and eBook that can help anyone find the right way to bet and come out winning instead of tossing money down the drain with constant losses.

Okay, so saying that you are going to get rich just because John Morrison is a statistical guru is going a bit far. Yet why do his sports picks work for him? Because he knows what to bet on and what the spread for each game is going to be. He has the money to cover enough bets that when one pays off, it pays off big. However, you may not be in the same boat. You may not have enough money to spend covering all the various picks so you are not going to see the revenue that he sees.

There is a really fine line between success and failure and The Sports Picks Buffet is supposed to show you that line. Instead of you going to a bookie and gathering information on one game, Morrison does the work for you and covers hundreds of different bets that you can choose from for that particular day. Each bet is going to tell you what the statistics for the spread are and what you should bet on.

The one thing that is easy to forget when you get caught up in the excitement is that not all bets are going to pay off big. There is no guarantee that the Lakers are going to win with a ten point spread. If you fail to factor that in, then you will lose your bet. So you do have to keep statistics in mind when you are betting, especially on sports. You have to factor in human error.

You really must keep in mind that you need to know about sports and betting before you pick up The Sports Picks Buffet. If you have no clue as to what a point spread is or you have an issue with gambling, then this is not for you. Morrison does put a lot of time and effort into his system but it can only do so much. In the end you have to be the one to take the chance on whether or not you trust him and his picks.

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Source by Mike Ramidden

Sports Betting

Your Advantages To NFL Picks Against Point Spread

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One of the most favored sports in the United States is that of professional football. The National Football League or the NFL plays from the first Thursday after Labor Day and extends for seventeen straight weeks. Americans are known to love this sport so much that they play the sport among family and friends. The most concrete way that they are able to show pride and support for their favorite teams is through following the scheduled games up until the Super Bowl.

However, the best way that people from all walks of life make these games more interesting is through wagers. Sports betting as been around for a very long time; watching the games and having the opportunity to profit dome extra cash is never a bad idea. These days, sports betting or NFL betting are among the most popularly done through online picks. Various service providers offer the advantage of presenting a system that will be able to generate predictions. These systems are meant to help increase your odds in selecting the games and the picks that you would like to place your wager.

The key to gaining the most advantage is to be smart in selecting the best system that you will trust. The may not always be a simple task to do. Some of the more serious sports gamblers would often rely on point spreads. In a manner of speaking, these spreads are often a more complex or a riskier betting move. There are a number of spreads that are presented by bookies where an individual would be able to choose the one that they feel most lucky in playing. While this is a game of the odds – there is not much difference from any other sports betting game. It uses a complex system to generate the figures presented to the gambler. Adversely, there is always a huge possibility of instant losses and winning would be treated as sheer luck.

On a different note, the use of NFL picks against point spread can present you with a good advantage. Of course, at the end of the day, it will still be all up to you. Your choices will still be the determining factor for your wagers and the kind of betting option you will play. The bottom line is still the fact that finding a system is an important move to take. While some see it to be no more that a waste of money, these picks systems have the ability to provide you with accurate predictions with the help of expert handicappers. These handicappers know every aspect of the National Football League. They have drawn their conclusion based on the performances and other key factors. In turn, you will be the one that will benefit the most.

When you are able to find yourself a great system that will work to your advantage, combine this with an experienced handicapper – just like magic, watch it unfold before your very eyes and you will be certain that you will always make smart decisions in sports betting.

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Source by Chris B Jenkins

Sports Betting

Who Are Your Baseball Picks This Time Around?

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With the Major League Baseball season officially underway, any sports betting professional is ready and able to make their best picks. If you have not had time to analyze all the past and current stats, consider using a service for help in making your baseball picks this season. There are several ways to get the best information around, and many of them are easily accessible online.

Get your picks from a trusted source, one that has the ability to provide you with the best picks possible. One way is to go with the hunches and the inside track provided by many famous sports newscasters. That is just one option though, and it is probably not the best. For example, a more reliable method of getting baseball picks is by using software. Software works by taking all of the past data and using them to help make predictions about likely winners in the future. Because of the in-depth analysis given here, there is no doubt that using software is one of the best choices. Just be sure to use the right program and the best resources.

The BestBetOnSports.com is a fantastic resource that helps people make the right picks. The tools available consistently help you in this task. As baseball picks go, the software programs at this service will help you get the best results from your bets. The site also offers picks for other sports, such as basketball and football. Any sports bettor owes it to him or herself to visit

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Source by John M Powell

Sports Betting

Free Sports Picks – Where to Receive Them

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Free Sports Picks From The Best Source – How To Get Them

Have you ever wondered how the major players in sports betting get the job done? There are a number of different sources around the internet and offline that you could use in your betting, but you need to make sure that they come from a quality source or else you’ll just be wasting your time and your money. It’s important to remember that not every place that offers free sports picks will give you something good. Otherwise, everyone would use them and all of the sports books would run out of money. So, how you know where you can get the best picks for free?

Beyond that, you should look for a service that will give you a free pick over the phone or through e-mail. Absolutely anyone can post a bunch of sports picks on a web site – that doesn’t make them high quality or any more correct than choosing at random. If a company or a group is willing to pick up the phone and call you or write down an e-mail message with some free picks, then chances are good that they have some quality information to share with you.

First of all, you should never trust a website or service that gives away all of their picks for free. There’s almost no way that a service like that can make any money, therefore they’re probably not high quality. Instead, you should look for a service that offers you some free sports picks as a preview or a trial of their premium picks. If they are willing to give away some good insider information, then there’s a good chance that you’ll be able to get much more from them.

More specifically, you should look for a service that uses a team of veteran sports handicappers to choose the picks. If you find a service that is simply made up of one guy in a basement, you’re not going to get much good information. The more experience that someone has in the betting industry, the more likely it is that their picks will be winners. Just like so many things in life, with betting you get better with age and experience. One of their secrets is receiving free picks from insider sources.

Take some time to look around and you will be able to tell the difference between a good picks service and one that is run by amateurs. If you want a high quality service that puts all of these good characteristics together, then you need to check out. They will hook you up with free sports picks so you can see how high quality their handicappers really are.

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Source by Donald Driver

Sports Betting

Free NFL Football Picks – Start Winning Today!

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Do you watch NFL football? If you do, then you must be an avid fan of football. If so, then there is a thing that you can do to make yourself enjoy the NFL Football picks even more. How? You need to bet on sports betting forums online. There are lots of ways to place a bet on sportsbook. There are many bookmakers around you that would very much appreciate you and the money you’ll place as bet. But if you don’t want to waste time finding bookmakers, then you should just relax, use your computer, connect to the internet, and find a reliable sports betting forum. But you can’t just bet on whichever team you would like. You still need to analyze which team you are going to bet on. That would be hard work. If you want it to be easier for you to bet, with a full knowledge of the game, then you should get Free NFL Football Picks.

If you are going to bet, then you could avail for a NFL football pick. You can pay for one online. But if you don’t have the money, or you simply don’t want to waste money on it, then you can try researching on your own. You will then have to research on all of the teams. This includes knowing each player and their coaching staff. You should also make charts for halftime betting situations just in case. You should also look at each team’s trends. Then, you must understand how to manipulate things with the odds so that you can ensure your victory each time you bet. But all of these would require hard work. If you want to just sit back, and relax, while being able to make a wise decision on placing a bet, then here is another good option for you: Get NFL football picks for free.

Free NFL football picks are available on many websites. NFL football picks would guide you on betting on a specific game by giving you an in-depth anaylsis of the team competing, and other important information. NFL football picks offer lots of information that you’ll need so that you can decide which team you should bet on. These information are supplied by handicappers. Handicappers would give you all the information and you can get it via free Football NFL picks. They can give you a list of injured players of the two teams competing.

They’ll also let you know the weather forecast of the city where the stadium for the game is. They also analyze what the coaches of the teams do on certain situations like when they are the road team, or are down by some points, etc. These are what the Free NFL football picks can give you so that you’ll never have to research on your own.

If you really like to place bet on sports events, or specifically, NFL Football, to gain money while enjoying the game, then you need to make a wise decision when placing a bet. Free NFL football picks will help you do that so that you don’t need to worry as you’ll easily gain money.

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Source by Chris Grisham

Sports Betting

The Best NFL Betting Picks and Football Predictions to Finally Start Winning

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NFL football betting picks and predictions are a huge market with few consistent winners.

NFL sports betting is one of the most popular betting medians online today. Anyone who enjoys watching football or the NFL loves to wager on a game to make it more exciting. However with such a huge following and so much money in one of the richest games on the planet, more and more people want to get a piece of the pie.

90% of people who bet on football loose over time, it’s statistics that keep bookies and sports books running at a profit. However there is a small group of people who consistently profit from betting on this game.

The small percentage that do consistently profit are professional gamblers that either really know their football or follow a proven system. Both professionals have flaws in their methods but both need sound money management systems to stay profitable over time.

Knowing where to get your tips, picks and predictions can be difficult because so many people over advice. Most sports books even offer free NFL betting picks, because they know the odds are on their side over the long term.

Paying for NFL betting predictions can be expensive if it is on a recurring basis, and you would have to consistently wager every game to get your money back. It can also take a long time to test different sources and find a viable expert, due to the fact you can’t make an opinion off only a few picks.

Being a successful online business owner I decided to test this market, and built a team to study the formulas, strategies, picks and predictions available, to see if someone of limited knowledge could consistently profit over time.

Our studies found the price of recurring products to be a major problem with beginners of limited funds, due to the increased pressure. We also found that the best picks came from people who understand the game while still using a system or formula to put the odds in their favour.

The Best picks we found came free with the purchase of a proven system, meaning there is no ongoing cost or recurring fees putting pressure on the beginner.

The Best Free NFL betting predictions came from an online sports book called “Bet US” however they are not a viable long term solution, and are more for the hobbyist gambler or sports enthusiast.

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Source by Luke L

Sports Betting

Sports Betting Picks

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It’s always fun to bet on the home team to win every game, but only if it’s a friendly bet and you’re not expecting to make money from your sports betting picks. On the other hand if you’re serious about your betting you want to be able to make informed decisions about your sports betting picks. This often requires knowledge that may not be readily available by reading the morning paper or listening to the nightly news. There are often many factors that can impact the potential outcome of a sporting event. Injuries are always a key factor whether they involve individual athletes like tennis players or golfers, or members of football and basketball teams.

Minor injuries that will not side line an athlete can be particularly tricky when trying to analyze how they might affect sports betting picks. The key question is; how will the injury impact the athlete’s performance, if at all. If it’s an injury to a key player on a team that will cause them to miss a game then the sports betting picks will be affected by how well the back up player is likely to perform. So, how do you find out such critical information? The best way is to do your sports betting with a top rated sportsbook. It will have experts who will analyze all the data, including information about injuries, and make solid recommendations for you to consider.

This type of expert assistance can only come from good sportsbooks and can be of great help when you make your sportsbook betting picks. You’ll not only be able what team or athlete to bet on, but how much to bet. Don’t place your bets in the dark, go with the experts.

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Source by Anthony LeMaire